Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.166779 3.534954 3.933480 4.397690 4.924526 5.504967 6.194414
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.648806 3.142007 3.713519 4.427683 5.300325 6.337097 7.669834
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.316655 2.874902 3.555614 4.452823 5.613241 7.075558 9.076986
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.075824 2.671421 3.428283 4.470388 5.883160 7.753536 10.453476
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.845571 2.447465 3.238961 4.369316 5.963874 8.165665 11.493434
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.686525 2.297054 3.124821 4.346509 6.133208 8.697197 12.740523
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.547848 2.158801 3.010041 4.304064 6.259360 9.165650 13.931572
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.491315 2.129364 3.042751 4.472884 6.706034 10.145728 16.016656
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.395537 2.033426 2.968254 4.470155 6.883986 10.720949 17.507796
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.303429 1.934754 2.880074 4.435342 7.002705 11.205489 18.893158
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.173253 1.768113 2.674664 4.195610 6.762514 11.068647 19.170107
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.112895 1.705320 2.625861 4.204085 6.934073 11.640897 20.781278
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.074898 1.676717 2.631542 4.307224 7.284245 12.572584 23.206170
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.024809 1.624950 2.595539 4.336081 7.506085 13.296788 25.329114
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.978353 1.575631 2.559420 4.360549 7.720349 14.026237 27.555837
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.934629 1.527644 2.521576 4.377687 7.920637 14.746678 29.856592
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.875218 1.448852 2.424841 4.278966 7.889629 15.007125 31.200702
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.833162 1.397298 2.372014 4.256689 8.003511 15.567037 33.276331
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.791479 1.343727 2.311835 4.215230 8.074281 16.043006 35.222196
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.782794 1.348379 2.357078 4.380121 8.579310 17.490326 39.665616
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.751161 1.309344 2.319004 4.377456 8.734127 18.191803 42.395433
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.717572 1.264688 2.267453 4.343455 8.818348 18.743200 44.826302
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.660854 1.173861 2.122926 4.109290 8.447141 18.216804 44.387445